• EU HRC (N. Europe)€740–760/tex-works N. Europe; tradable €740–750/t, offers €750–760/t; Fastmarkets index €748/t on 22 Oct22 Oct 2026 · Fastmarkets via EUROMETAL
  • China steel exports10.492 MtSeptember; Jan–Sep 85.641 Mt, −2.6% y/y14 Oct 2026 · China Customs via Mysteel / SMM
  • World crude steel142.4 MtSeptember, −0.2% y/y23 Oct 2026 · worldsteel
  • Iron ore fines 61%$89.20/dmtseaborne 61% fines, SMM; +$0.60/dmt d/d23 Oct 2026 · SMM
  • Turkish HMS 1&2 (80:20)~$400/tCFR, September averageOct 2026 · GMK Center
  • EU CBAM certificate€82.32Q3 2026 price, per certificate5 Oct 2026 · European Commission
  • US Section 232 steel10%–50%tariff, by product/country8 Oct 2026 · Congressional Research Service

Italy’s top court reserves its Taranto ruling as the prosecutor backs lifting the hot-end stop

The Court of Cassation heard the appeals on 20 October and reserved its decision. The furnaces can be kept warm only until 15 December, and Il Sole 24 Ore reports a restart would take about three months, so Italian flat-steel buyers should not count on Taranto supply before early 2027.

By Mara AlvestadPublished Updated 7 min read
Illustration: an idle blast furnace at a coastal integrated steelworks at dusk, with conveyor gantries and empty stockyards in front
Illustration of an idle blast furnace at a coastal integrated steelworks at dusk

Executive summary

  • Italy’s Court of Cassation heard the appeals against the court-ordered stop of the former Ilva hot end at Taranto on 20 October and reserved its decision. The ruling will be sent to the parties later.
  • The prosecutor general’s office asked the judges to partly uphold the appeals and lift the stop, saying the Milan Court of Appeal had not balanced health protection against industrial production. Its view does not bind the court.
  • A decree-law of 16 October 2026 lets the administrators keep the blast furnaces warm, without producing, until the court publishes its reasoning and no later than 15 December 2026.
  • Acciaierie d’Italia (ADI) has asked to raise the number of workers on state-backed furlough from 4,450 to 8,622 of its 9,626 staff. Government and unions meet on 27 October.
  • For buyers, Taranto’s hot end is unlikely to supply new slab or coil this year, whatever the court decides. Italian buyers of flat steel should plan on other EU mills and quota-limited imports into the first half of 2027.

Key numbers

20 Oct Court of Cassation hearing on the Taranto hot-end stop; decision reserved FactRAI News, 20 Oct 2026

25 Oct End of the 90-day period set by the Milan Court of Appeal on 27 July to stop the hot end FactIl Sole 24 Ore

15 Dec 2026 Latest date to which the furnaces may be kept warm without production FactDecree-law 185/2026, Gazzetta Ufficiale

8,622 Maximum ADI staff covered by the requested furlough, out of 9,626 (up from 4,450) FactConquiste del Lavoro

€744/t Italian domestic HRC, ex-works, as assessed by SMM on 21 October FactSMM, 21 Oct 2026

Fact = supported by the cited primary source or clearly attributed reporting/market assessment · Calc. = Loharo calculation from cited figures · Uncertain = an attributed claim not independently confirmed · Analysis = interpretation or forecast with sourced premises.

What happened

On 20 October the Joint Civil Chambers of Italy’s Court of Cassation heard the appeals brought by Ilva and Acciaierie d’Italia, both under state special administration, and by Acciaierie d’Italia Holding against the stop of the hot end at Taranto. According to RAI News and the union daily Conquiste del Lavoro, the judges reserved their decision, which will be notified to the parties later. No date has been given.

The case concerns a decree of the Milan Court of Appeal of 27 July. As Il Sole 24 Ore reports, it ordered the blast furnaces and steel shop to stop within 90 days, a period that ends on 25 October, because of fine-dust emissions (PM2.5 and PM10) and asbestos inside the blast furnaces. ANSA reports the same two grounds. ADI already halted hot-end production on 9 October, as we reported in our October capacity watch.

Advertise

Reach steel buyers and importers worldwide

Put your brand in front of the people who buy and trade steel.

Advertise with Loharo

At the hearing, deputy prosecutor general Luigi Birritteri asked the court to partly uphold the appeals and to remove the stop. According to ANSA and RAI, he argued that the Milan decree lacked a balance between protecting health and keeping industrial production going, and that while the danger of asbestos is not in dispute, the appeal court had inferred the danger rather than established it. The prosecutor’s request is not the decision. RAI notes that the Cassation can confirm the Milan decree, annul it, or annul it and send the case back to the Court of Appeal.

The government has already bought time. Decree-law No. 185 of 16 October 2026, published in the Gazzetta Ufficiale, authorises the administrators of Ilva and ADI to keep the smelting plants warm so that they are not damaged beyond repair, until the Cassation’s reasoning is published and in any case no later than 15 December 2026. Air-emission monitoring continues even without production.

The job picture is getting worse. According to Conquiste del Lavoro, ADI’s administrators asked on 14 October to raise the ceiling for extraordinary wage support (cassa integrazione straordinaria) from 4,450 to 8,622 workers, out of a group workforce of 9,626, including 6,964 of 7,875 at Taranto. Il Sole 24 Ore and RAI report that the current, lower ceiling stays in place for now, and that the new request will be discussed only after the government meets the unions at Palazzo Chigi on 27 October.

Why it matters for steel buyers

Il Sole 24 Ore reports that even after a favourable ruling, Taranto’s hot end could not restart immediately: no raw materials remain on site or money to buy them, and ordering, shipping and restarting would take about three months. The outlet adds that a restart is not certain.

In the meantime ADI is keeping its rolling lines partly busy. GMK Center, citing La Stampa, reports tolling agreements to roll about 365,000 tonnes of slab for Italian customers including Marcegaglia and Eusider, with the Taranto hot strip mill running until 14 December, and a plan for Genoa to process 35,000 tonnes of coil a month for third parties until the end of November. SteelOrbis, published by EUROMETAL, reported on 21 October that the Genoa and Novi Ligure plants may continue producing. We could not confirm these arrangements with ADI.

Prices have barely moved so far. SMM assessed Italian domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) at €744 per tonne ex-works on 21 October, up €2, and said supply in Italy remains restricted, with late November and December delivery offers at €750 per tonne delivered. It also reported that imports are held back by EU safeguard quota limits. Our October HRC price analysis and our guide to the EU tariff quotas explain how the quotas limit cheap import options.

Analysis For Italian buyers of HRC, coated coil and tinplate, the practical point is that Taranto will not add new supply this year, and probably not before early 2027 even if the court lifts the stop soon. That leaves buyers relying on other EU mills and on imports that must fit within the quota, at a time when mills are negotiating first-half 2027 contracts. Buyers who still count on Taranto in their 2027 plans should line up alternative tonnage now rather than wait for the ruling.

Analysis A ruling that confirms the Milan decree would make the loss of Italy’s only integrated steelworks more likely to be permanent. A ruling that annuls it would mainly keep the option of a restart open; on its own it would not change supply in the coming months.

Who is affected

  • Italian buyers of flat steel (HRC, coated coil and tinplate), service centres and re-rollers that used to buy from ADI.
  • Other EU flat-steel mills, which may find more demand from Italian customers for 2027 contracts.
  • Importers into Italy, since replacement tonnage from outside the EU must fit within the safeguard quotas.

Stay ahead of the steel market

We’ll email you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe anytime. See our Privacy Policy.

What to watch next

  • The Cassation ruling: whether it confirms, annuls or sends back the Milan decree, and when the reasoning is published (the furnaces can stay warm until 15 December at the latest).
  • 25 October: the end of the 90-day period set by the Milan Court of Appeal.
  • 27 October: the government and union meeting at Palazzo Chigi, which also decides when the larger furlough request is discussed.
  • Italian HRC offers for early 2027 and how much of Italy’s demand moves to other EU mills and to quota imports.

Verification status: Partially verified

  • The hearing, court process and legal deadline are checked. The restart timeframe is from one Il Sole 24 Ore report and is now explicitly attributed. Last fact-check: 24 October 2026.
  • Key: Verified = material factual claims are supported by an appropriate primary source or clearly attributed reporting/market assessments; Partially verified = a specific material claim remains unsupported, contradicted or materially overstated; Analysis = interpretation or forecast with sourced premises; Developing = material facts are checked but the situation is still changing.

Ask the Analyst

“500 t HRC from Turkey into Antwerp in January”: landed cost with duty, quota and CBAM in one answer.Ask the Analyst

Sources

Primary sources

Supporting sources

Related on Loharo

Last fact-check: 21 October 2026 (Europe/Amsterdam).

Facts, analysis and uncertainty are labelled in line with our editorial standards. Report an error – corrections are dated and noted on the article. Information and analysis only, not investment advice.