Loharo – Global Steel Intelligence
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Ask one focused question about landed cost, duty, quota or CBAM risk and get a source-led answer with clear assumptions.
Ask the AnalystCBAM Cost Check
A sourced PDF comparing default values with supplier data, estimated cost, deadlines and budget exposure.
Trade Measures Check
A paid, product-specific review of the quotas, safeguards and duties for your origin and destination, including tailored run-out risk and next steps.
Free Trade Measures Tracker
A free, self-serve guide to steel tariff quotas and trade measures by market. Explore the rules yourself; it is not tailored to a specific product.
Illustration
Hyundai Steel says Q3 operating profit rose 51%
Hyundai Steel’s quarterly profit rebounded, but its operating margin remains modest. Loharo calculates the change and separates product mix from an EU buyer’s next automotive-sheet quote.
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Week of 2 Nov 2026
Price · Contracts
EU mills want €100–150/t more for 2027 coil; the market expects €50–80/t
Market participants expect 2027 contracts to settle about €50–80/t higher, and import quotas and CBAM have taken away most of the cheaper import alternative.
Affects: Automotive suppliers, EU flat buyers, Service centres
Availability · Landed cost
More than half of the EU's Q4 duty-free steel is gone, and every open flat-steel pool is shut
For buyers of hot-rolled, cold-rolled, coated and plate, duty-free supply until 31 December depends on a few named countries; steel imported outside a quota pays a 50% duty.
Affects: Importers, EU flat buyers, Service centres
Price · Supply
US sheet sits about €410/t above EU coil, but the 50% US tariff closes the gap
The 50% US Section 232 duty closes almost all of that gap, so for EU mills the high US price is not an export opening.
Affects: EU flat buyers, EU mills, Exporters
Timing · Logistics
Rhine barge steel deliveries likely stay on part loads into mid-November
If the federal forecast holds, part loads and low-water costs are likely to last into mid-November for buyers taking steel by barge on the Middle and Upper Rhine.
Affects: Rhine-served buyers, Service centres, Forwarders
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The Weekly Briefing
Loharo Steel Market Brief: EU mills open 2027 coil talks as the import door narrows (week ending 30 October 2026)
The week to 30 October: EU mills ask €100–150/t more for 2027 coil while the market expects €50–80/t; wire-rope registration and Turkish cold-rolled duties add to trade defence; Japan's stainless duties put Taiwan's EU quota in focus; the Rhine stays below low water to 10 November.
Signals & key dates to watch
Key trade-policy, carbon-border and regulatory dates for steel buyers, worldwide.
- 26 Feb 2027EUProvisional GOES / laminations & cores safeguard (Impl. Reg. 2026/2133) ends; definitive decision may follow
- 18 Nov 2026EUWire rod from China, anti-dumping expiry review: deadline for comments and Union-interest submissions (37 days)
- 31 Dec 2026EUCommission due to assess extending the steel tariff-quota scope
- 1 Jan 2027EUQ1 2027 tariff quotas open; new country-distribution act needed
- 4 Jan 2027EU CBAMQ4 2026 CBAM certificate price due to be published
- Feb 2027EU CBAMCBAM certificate sales open on the common central platform
Dates from official sources cited in our articles. Check the primary source before acting.
Steel Prices
Looking back at steel’s 2020–22 boom and bust: lessons for contracts, stock and credit
Between August 2020 and December 2021, the US producer price index for steel mill products rose 153%, before…
- Europe’s steel market enters Q4 2026: imports capped, demand flat, costs rising
- European HRC holds at €740–760/t as quota exhaustion shuts the cheap import window
Trade & Tariffs
EU starts registering steel wire rope imports from India, Thailand and Türkiye, so anti-dumping duties could be backdated
From 31 October the EU registers non-stainless steel wire rope imports from India, Thailand and Türkiye, which supplied…
- Japan’s duties on Chinese and Taiwanese cold-rolled stainless start on 31 October; Taiwan’s EU quota is 60% used
- EU moves to keep anti-dumping duties on hot-rolled stainless from China, Indonesia and Taiwan for five more years
Supply & Production
thyssenkrupp can run its Duisburg DRI plant on natural gas for longer: what it means for low-CO₂ steel buyers
Germany has made revised aid terms for thyssenkrupp’s Duisburg direct reduction plant final, letting it raise the hydrogen…
- China’s steel output ran about 100 Mt above home use in nine months as mill stocks hit a four-year high
- EU crude steel output fell 5% in September, led by a 13% drop in Germany
Demand & Construction
EU Parliament groups back a low-carbon steel credit in car CO₂ rules: up to 7.5 points for EU-made steel
A compromise between the EPP, S&D and Renew would let carmakers count EU-made low-carbon steel towards their 2035…
- worldsteel cuts 2026 steel demand to flat: China deeper, EU revised to −0.3%
- Global steel risk outlook by region: where demand, trade rules, energy and credit point for 2026–27
Raw Materials
EU draft waste list would shut India, Pakistan and Egypt out of EU steel scrap from May 2027
The Commission's draft list clears only five non-OECD destinations for EU metal waste after 21 May 2027. India,…
- Iron ore, coking coal and scrap: how raw material costs feed through to finished steel prices
- Scrap and iron ore send soft signals: Turkish HMS stalls near $400/t as seaborne ore slips below $90
Companies
POSCO will sell 570,000 t less steel in Q4 while it relines a Gwangyang blast furnace: what EU coil buyers should check
POSCO’s third-quarter steel profit recovered on higher prices, but it expects fourth-quarter sales to fall by about 570,000…
- Salzgitter raises 2026 guidance for a third time, but its Aurubis stake supplied 38% of nine-month EBITDA
- thyssenkrupp CEO rules out a steel sale for now and prepares the division for a listing
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Why Loharo
Prices and your landed cost
What is moving flat and long steel prices, and how quotas, duties and CBAM change the cost of importing.
Trade-rule risk, early
Quota openings and exhaustion, tariffs, anti-dumping cases and CBAM deadlines, with the date each one takes effect.
Clear calls on what to watch
Every article ends with the dated signals to watch next, by product and region.
Who is affected, up front
Each story says which buyers, traders, service centres and producers feel the impact, and how.