Loharo – Global Steel Intelligence
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Ask one focused question about landed cost, duty, quota or CBAM risk and get a source-led answer with clear assumptions.
Ask the AnalystCBAM Cost Check
A sourced PDF comparing default values with supplier data, estimated cost, deadlines and budget exposure.
Trade Measures Check
A paid, product-specific review of the quotas, safeguards and duties for your origin and destination, including tailored run-out risk and next steps.
Free Trade Measures Tracker
A free, self-serve guide to steel tariff quotas and trade measures by market. Explore the rules yourself; it is not tailored to a specific product.
Illustration of seamless steel tubes stacked in a European port customs yard
EU steelmakers target pro-rata quota sharing: on overbooked Chinese tubes the 50% duty averages an estimated 22.5%
When first-day import claims exceed an EU steel quota, the shortfall is shared across every claim, so no cargo pays the full 50% duty. On Chinese seamless tubes that averages an estimated 22.5%, EUROMETAL reports. Loharo’s figures show the duty collected is the same, and even 50% leaves the reported import offer below EU prices.
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Advertise with LoharoThis week’s priorities
Week of 26 Oct 2026
Availability · Timing
Taranto is unlikely to supply new coil this year, whatever the court decides
Italian buyers of flat steel should plan on other EU mills and quota-limited imports into the first half of 2027.
Affects: Italian flat buyers, Service centres
Availability
EU crude steel output fell 5% in September, with Germany down 13%
For EU flat-steel buyers, thinner home supply meets an import regime that caps duty-free tonnage at 18.3 Mt a year, so availability, not price, is the variable to watch into early 2027.
Affects: EU flat buyers, Importers, Service centres
Landed cost · Scope
CBAM could reach imported fasteners, wire and tubes from 2028: 180 to 457 goods on the table
The length of the final list decides whether imported fabricated steel goods carry a carbon cost from 2028; the next round of talks is on 30 November and nothing is law yet.
Affects: Importers of fabricated steel, EU fabricators
Cost · Raw materials
EU draft list would shut India, Pakistan and Egypt out of EU scrap from May 2027
If the draft stands, more EU scrap is likely to stay in Europe or go to Türkiye, which could ease scrap costs for EU electric arc furnace mills over time; the Commission must adopt the first list by 21 November.
Affects: EAF mills, Scrap traders, Long-product buyers
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The Weekly Briefing
Global Steel Weekly: CBAM talks open, Taranto waits on its judges and Türkiye hits the EU quota wall (week ending 23 October 2026)
The week to 23 October: EU institutions opened talks on extending CBAM to downstream goods, Italy's top court reserved its Taranto ruling, EU output fell 5% and Turkish mills ran out of EU quota. China held output flat, JSW Steel warned of dearer coking coal and U.S. Steel approved a new Mon Valley mill.
Signals & key dates to watch
Key trade-policy, carbon-border and regulatory dates for steel buyers, worldwide.
- 26 Feb 2027EUProvisional GOES / laminations & cores safeguard (Impl. Reg. 2026/2133) ends; definitive decision may follow
- 18 Nov 2026EUWire rod from China, anti-dumping expiry review: deadline for comments and Union-interest submissions (37 days)
- 31 Dec 2026EUCommission due to assess extending the steel tariff-quota scope
- 1 Jan 2027EUQ1 2027 tariff quotas open; new country-distribution act needed
- 4 Jan 2027EU CBAMQ4 2026 CBAM certificate price due to be published
- Feb 2027EU CBAMCBAM certificate sales open on the common central platform
Dates from official sources cited in our articles. Check the primary source before acting.
Steel Prices
EU mills seek €100–150/t more for 2027 coil contracts; buyers expect €50–80/t
Northwest European mills have opened 2027 hot-rolled coil contract talks asking €100–150/t more than in the second half…
- Looking back at steel’s 2020–22 boom and bust: lessons for contracts, stock and credit
- Europe’s steel market enters Q4 2026: imports capped, demand flat, costs rising
Trade & Tariffs
EU moves to keep anti-dumping duties on hot-rolled stainless from China, Indonesia and Taiwan for five more years
The Commission has told parties it plans to extend duties of 4.1–19.0% on hot-rolled stainless sheets and coils,…
- EU steel quotas four weeks into Q4: 65 of 283 lines used up, and most duty-free hot-rolled room sits with eight origins
- EU lowers planned anti-dumping duties on Turkish cold-rolled steel to 3–7.8% before its final ruling
Supply & Production
China’s September crude steel output holds flat at 73.59 Mt as property investment falls 20.6%: export pressure on Europe stays
China made 73.59 Mt of crude steel in September, 0.1% more than a year earlier, while property investment…
- EAF versus blast furnace: what the two routes mean for emissions, costs and the green steel premium
- World crude steel output fell 1.2% in August as China’s decline outweighed gains in India and North America
Demand & Construction
EU Parliament groups back a low-carbon steel credit in car CO₂ rules: up to 7.5 points for EU-made steel
A compromise between the EPP, S&D and Renew would let carmakers count EU-made low-carbon steel towards their 2035…
- worldsteel cuts 2026 steel demand to flat: China deeper, EU revised to −0.3%
- Global steel risk outlook by region: where demand, trade rules, energy and credit point for 2026–27
Raw Materials
Iron ore, coking coal and scrap: how raw material costs feed through to finished steel prices
A blast furnace needs about 1.4 t of iron ore and 0.8 t of coal per tonne of…
- Scrap and iron ore send soft signals: Turkish HMS stalls near $400/t as seaborne ore slips below $90
- EU draft waste list would shut India, Pakistan and Egypt out of EU steel scrap from May 2027
Companies
SSAB expects its European prices to rise by up to 5% in the fourth quarter after import curbs lifted its third quarter
SSAB said EU import volumes fell and European plate and strip prices rose after the 1 July trade…
- Salzgitter’s new 380 kV line is live, removing a grid hurdle before its 2027 low-CO₂ steel start
- Salzgitter raises 2026 guidance for a third time, but its Aurubis stake supplied 38% of nine-month EBITDA
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Why Loharo
Prices and your landed cost
What is moving flat and long steel prices, and how quotas, duties and CBAM change the cost of importing.
Trade-rule risk, early
Quota openings and exhaustion, tariffs, anti-dumping cases and CBAM deadlines, with the date each one takes effect.
Clear calls on what to watch
Every article ends with the dated signals to watch next, by product and region.
Who is affected, up front
Each story says which buyers, traders, service centres and producers feel the impact, and how.